New: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. See the ... Read moreabout the conditionNew: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. See the seller's listing for full details. See all condition definitionsopens in a new window or tab
In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200, a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe, we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future - everythng from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Very good condition -A book that has been read and does not look new, but is in excellent condition. Don't have obvious damage to the book cover. No missing or damaged pages, no creases or tears, no underlining or highlighting of text, and no writing in the margins.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Very good condition -A book that has been read and does not look new, but is in excellent condition. Don't have obvious damage to the book cover. No missing or damaged pages, no creases or tears, no underlining or highlighting of text, and no writing in the margins.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
Good condition -A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover.The majority of pages are undamaged might be with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text. No writing in the margins, no missing pages.
€17.97
New: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. See the ... Read moreabout the conditionNew: A new, unread, unused book in perfect condition with no missing or damaged pages. See the seller's listing for full details. See all condition definitionsopens in a new window or tab
